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From: Chuck Simmons
Organization: You jest.
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (X11; U; Linux 2.0.33 i586)
Subject: Re: Electrical Engineering degree --> tech career
<3D9ADE9C.584E25A4@webaccess.net> <firstname.lastname@example.org> <0R+ISoC3Yzm9EwKE@jmwa.demon.co.uk>
Date: Thu, 03 Oct 2002 00:59:13 GMT
NNTP-Posting-Date: Wed, 02 Oct 2002 17:59:13 PDT
John Woodgate wrote:
> I read in sci.electronics.design that The little lost angel overgirl.lrigrevol.moc.com> wrote (in <email@example.com
> t.sg>) about 'Electrical Engineering degree --> tech career', on Wed, 2
> Oct 2002:
> >On Wed, 02 Oct 2002 11:54:42 GMT, Chuck Simmons
> > wrote:
> >>But the current PC architecture is clearly doomed and that will change
> >>much of the structure of the industry again. My bet is that the new
> >>players fail (companies less than 30 years old), the old companies will
> >>shake out again and the market will look a lot different.
> >It's gonna to be one humongous installed mass to overcome for anything
> >to replace the PC. There had been better products poised for that role
> >but apparently none of them succeeded simply due to the sheer number
> >of x86 PC installed and the sheer number of software available... and
> >unavailable to the replacement.
> I agree. If all of Microsoft and IBM were zapped by aliens, we would
> have to more or less re-invent them. Just think: do you see all these
> big outfits that own 10 000 PCs switching to Apple or some
> implementation of UNIX within weeks of such an (improbable) event?
The expectation is a gradual phase out of 32 bit OSs which happened
without much noise in the workstation market years ago. DEC actually
hoped to encourage the phase out circa 1990 with Alpha but PC emulation
in an Alpha turned out to be too slow even with Alpha's incredible
perfomance for the time. Certainly 64 bit processor vendors are looking
for OS options. Intel is definitely looking closely at methods for
bringing 64 bit chips to market. The priority is on getting the 64 bit
chips in the pipeline. If the 64 bit chips move into the market in
volume, native applications will follow quickly. Flushing out the old
PCs will take many years when you consider that the one of two computers
I use in my lab is a 150 MHz Pentium. It is quite long in the tooth.
... The times have been,
That, when the brains were out,
the man would die. ... Macbeth
Chuck Simmons firstname.lastname@example.org
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